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Goodbye to Berlin
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Not only do I not see that push from inside the industry, if we rewind, we have people inside the industry saying stuff like, “Insider trading is cool, and that’s how we get information out.” And that’s the bonus of these markets, that people have an incentive to share information broadly via insider trading. I’m not making this up. There is literally an academic paper on this. So I find this very difficult to believe, because insofar as prediction markets have any value whatsoever, that value is tied specifically to insider information.
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