宝城期货分析师陈栋认为，冲突通过三大路径影响甲醇市场：一是供应收缩，伊朗装置受天然气短缺与安全风险影响，降负、停车概率上升；二是物流受阻，霍尔木兹海峡航运受限，影响我国进口节奏；三是成本上升，原油涨价推升全产业链成本，带动甲醇期现货价格上行。
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Александра Синицына (Ночной линейный редактор)
Participants completed the task through a web interface [lin_vegapunk_nodate] programmed into Qualtrics where they conversed with an AI agent (OpenAI GPT-5.1-Chat). The AI agent’s behavior was manipulated across five between-participant conditions through system prompts:，详情可参考safew官方下载